[Hurricane] HOME FORECASTS IMAGERY RADAR CRUISE WEATHER HURRICANES

1999-Sep-12 22:04:40 UT1

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities for Walt Disney World: 28°25´N 81°34´W

Probability, at the forecast times shown, that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Walt Disney World: 28°25´N 81°34´W. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.

NameDateTimeRelative Time60 nmi120 nmi240 nmiWind
NowFcstTICTICTIC
FLOYD 1999-09-14 06:00 UT +32 h +33 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 6 6 6 120
FLOYD 1999-09-14 18:00 UT +44 h +45 h 2 2 2 8 9 9 34 36 36 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 06:00 UT +56 h +57 h 3 5 5 12 17 18 41 52 55 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 18:00 UT +68 h +69 h 2 5 7 9 17 23 32 46 67 120

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities for Melbourne and Port Canaveral: 28°04´N 80°36´W

Probability, at the forecast times shown, that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Melbourne and Port Canaveral: 28°04´N 80°36´W. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.

NameDateTimeRelative Time60 nmi120 nmi240 nmiWind
NowFcstTICTICTIC
FLOYD 1999-09-14 06:00 UT +32 h +33 h <1 <1 <1 1 1 1 14 14 14 120
FLOYD 1999-09-14 18:00 UT +44 h +45 h 3 3 3 13 14 14 45 50 50 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 06:00 UT +56 h +57 h 3 6 7 13 22 23 45 59 67 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 18:00 UT +68 h +69 h 2 5 9 9 18 28 32 47 78 120

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities for Nassau: 25°02´N 77°20´W

Probability, at the forecast times shown, that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Nassau: 25°02´N 77°20´W. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.

NameDateTimeRelative Time60 nmi120 nmi240 nmiWind
NowFcstTICTICTIC
FLOYD 1999-09-13 18:00 UT +20 h +21 h <1 <1 <1 1 1 1 35 35 35 120
FLOYD 1999-09-14 06:00 UT +32 h +33 h 8 8 8 29 30 30 77 91 91 120
FLOYD 1999-09-14 18:00 UT +44 h +45 h 5 13 13 21 42 43 61 92 99 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 06:00 UT +56 h +57 h 2 8 16 10 23 48 35 61 99 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 18:00 UT +68 h +69 h 1 3 17 5 11 51 19 35 99 120

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities for Castaway Cay: 26°05´N 77°32´W

Probability, at the forecast times shown, that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Castaway Cay: 26°05´N 77°32´W. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.

NameDateTimeRelative Time60 nmi120 nmi240 nmiWind
NowFcstTICTICTIC
FLOYD 1999-09-13 18:00 UT +20 h +21 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 22 22 22 120
FLOYD 1999-09-14 06:00 UT +32 h +33 h 6 6 6 25 25 25 72 81 81 120
FLOYD 1999-09-14 18:00 UT +44 h +45 h 6 13 13 24 42 42 66 95 99 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 06:00 UT +56 h +57 h 3 9 16 12 27 47 40 66 99 120
FLOYD 1999-09-15 18:00 UT +68 h +69 h 1 4 17 6 13 51 23 40 99 120


Notes:

  1. UT is 4 hours ahead of EDT and 5 hours ahead of EST

FLOYD probabilities based on forecast data from 1999-09-12 21:00 UT

Instructions


Warning! These data may not be accurate. Do not rely on them for life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property. The strike probabilities have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances.

Description of the strike probabilty calculation (168 kB PostScript file)

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Disclaimer: The weather data presented here is for general information on current storms and weather systems. Information here should not be used to make life or death decisions. The data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. (radio, TV) Hidden Mickeys of Disney, Tom Shaw, or any other company affiliated with Hidden Mickeys of Disney can not be held responsible for any inaccurate data presented here.