1998-Sep-25 13:38:09 UT 1

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probabilities for Walt Disney World

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    Probability, at the forecast times shown, that the storm center will be within 60 nmi, 120 nmi, and 240 nmi of Walt Disney World: 28°25´N 81°34´W. Probabilities at intermediate times may be higher than those shown. The probabilities are given in percent ("<1" means "less than one percent probability") and are updated whenever a new forecast is received.

    NameDateTimeRelative Time60 nmi120 nmi240 nmiWind
    NowFcstTICTICTIC
    GEORGES 1998-09-25 21:02 UT +8 h +12 h <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 81 81 81 047
    GEORGES 1998-09-26 06:00 UT +17 h +21 h 1 1 1 10 11 11 74 97 97 095
    GEORGES 1998-09-26 18:00 UT +29 h +33 h 2 3 3 10 17 17 48 74 99 100
    GEORGES 1998-09-27 06:00 UT +41 h +45 h 1 3 4 6 12 20 26 48 99 100
    GEORGES 1998-09-27 18:00 UT +53 h +57 h 1 2 5 4 7 22 17 26 99 082
    GEORGES 1998-09-28 06:00 UT +65 h +69 h <1 1 6 2 4 23 11 17 99 065
    http://kauai.nrlmry.navy.mil:80/sat-bin/tc_home http://kauai.nrlmry.navy.mil:80/sat-bin/tc_display?DISPLAY=Active&PROD=track_vis&TYPE=ssmi&ACTIVES=99-ATL-08.FLOYD>99-ATL-08.FLOYD!99-ATL-09.NONAME>99-ATL-09.NONAME!99-WPAC-21W.NONAME>99-WPAC-21W.NONAME!99-ATL-91.INVEST>99-ATL-91.INVEST!99-WPAC-91W.INVEST>99-WPAC-91W.INVEST!&YEAR=1999&MO=Sep&ACTION=Latest_Photos http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/images/xxirg8n.GIF 800 608 http://www.earthwatch.com/SKYWATCH/images/IRCARIB3D.jpg 3D http://152.80.56.202/wam/gifs/natl_swht_000.gif WAVE HEIGHTS http://www.mpc.ncep.noaa.gov/RSSA/AtlRegSSA.html marine analysis http://www.oceanweather.com/data/useast.html marine obs http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/ make your own imagery http://www.ns.ec.gc.ca/weather/hurricane/track.html canadaian track forecast http://tbone.biol.sc.edu/tide/nph-tideshow.cgi?site=Cape+Canaveral%2C+Florida tides http://www.nws.fsu.edu/B/buoy?station=SPGF1 bahamas boey http://www.nws.fsu.edu/B/buoy?station=41009 port bouy http://www.nws.fsu.edu/B/buoy?station=LKWF1 wpb buoy http://www.nws.fsu.edu/B/buoy?station=FWYF1 off miami http://www.nws.fsu.edu/B/buoy?station=MLRF1 off key largo http://polar.wwb.noaa.gov/regional.waves/waves.html#egc.wave.t00 wave forecast http://polar.wwb.noaa.gov/regional.waves/waves.html#egc.wind.t00 http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/img/ers_ssmi_as_global.map?441,199 winds ssmi http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/winds/gifs/trwnd85.gif winds http://www.nws.fsu.edu/tropical/

    GEORGES probabilities based on forecast data from 1998-09-25 09:00 UT1

    Instructions


    Disney Cruise Line Strike Forecast

    http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/cgi-bin/StrikeProb?city=melbourne


    More Information


    Notes:

    1. UT is 4 hours ahead of EDT and 5 hours ahead of EST


    Warning! These data may not be accurate. Do not rely on them for life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property. The strike probabilities have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances.

    Description of the strike probabilty calculation (168 kB PostScript file)

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